Superforcasting : The Art & Science of prediction / Philip Tetlock , Dan Gardner.

By:

Tetlock Philip, Gardner Dan

Material type: Text

TextPublication details: New york. Penguin Random house . 2015.Edition: 2015Description: 340 p . ; softbound 15x23cmISBN:

978-1-847-94714-7

DDC classification:

23 003.2 TET

Contents:

1.An optimistic skeptic 2.Illusion of knowledge 3.Keeping score 4.Superforecasters 5.Supersmart? 6.Superquants? 7.Supernewsjunkies? 8.Perpetual Beta 9.Superteams 10.The leader's Dilemma 11.Are they really so super? 12.What's next?

Summary: Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold.Whether buying a new house or changing job,Designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out.The problem is, we're not very good at it.

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Holdings
Item type	Current library	Collection	Call number	Status	Date due	Barcode
Books	Tetso College Library Computer Science	Non-fiction	003.2 TET (Browse shelf(Opens below))	Available		8189

1.An optimistic skeptic
2.Illusion of knowledge
3.Keeping score
4.Superforecasters
5.Supersmart?
6.Superquants?
7.Supernewsjunkies?
8.Perpetual Beta
9.Superteams
10.The leader's Dilemma
11.Are they really so super?
12.What's next?

Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold.Whether buying a new house or changing job,Designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out.The problem is, we're not very good at it.

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