Superforcasting :
Tetlock Philip, Gardner Dan
Superforcasting : The Art & Science of prediction / Philip Tetlock , Dan Gardner. - 2015. - New york. Penguin Random house . 2015. - 340 p . ; softbound 15x23cm
1.An optimistic skeptic
2.Illusion of knowledge
3.Keeping score
4.Superforecasters
5.Supersmart?
6.Superquants?
7.Supernewsjunkies?
8.Perpetual Beta
9.Superteams
10.The leader's Dilemma
11.Are they really so super?
12.What's next?
Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold.Whether buying a new house or changing job,Designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out.The problem is, we're not very good at it.
978-1-847-94714-7
003.2 / TET
Superforcasting : The Art & Science of prediction / Philip Tetlock , Dan Gardner. - 2015. - New york. Penguin Random house . 2015. - 340 p . ; softbound 15x23cm
1.An optimistic skeptic
2.Illusion of knowledge
3.Keeping score
4.Superforecasters
5.Supersmart?
6.Superquants?
7.Supernewsjunkies?
8.Perpetual Beta
9.Superteams
10.The leader's Dilemma
11.Are they really so super?
12.What's next?
Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold.Whether buying a new house or changing job,Designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out.The problem is, we're not very good at it.
978-1-847-94714-7
003.2 / TET