TY  - BOOK
AU  - Tetlock Philip, Gardner Dan
TI  - Superforcasting: The Art & Science of prediction 
SN  - 978-1-847-94714-7
U1  - 003.2 23
PY  - 2015///
CY  - New york.
PB  - Penguin Random house .
N1  - 1.An optimistic skeptic
2.Illusion of knowledge
3.Keeping score
4.Superforecasters
5.Supersmart?
6.Superquants?
7.Supernewsjunkies?
8.Perpetual Beta
9.Superteams
10.The leader's Dilemma
11.Are they really so super?
12.What's next?
N2  - Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold.Whether buying a new house or changing job,Designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out.The problem is, we're not very good at it
ER  -