TY  - BOOK
AU  - Nate silver
TI  - The signal and the noise: Why so many predictions fail - but some don't 
SN  - 978-1-59420-411-1
U1  - 519.542 23
PY  - 2012///
CY  - New York.
PB  - The penguin Press
N1  - 1. A catastrophic failure of prediction
2. Are you smarter than a television pundit?
3. All I care about is w's and L's
4. For years you've been telling us that rain is green
5. Desperately seeking signal
6. How to drown in three feet of water
7. Role models
8. Less and less and less wrong
9. Rage against the machines
10. The poker bubble
11. If you cant beat em
12. A climate of healthy skepticism
13. What you dont know can hurt you
N2  - Human beings have to make plans and strategize for the future. As the place of our lives becomes faster and faster, we have to do so more often and more quickly. But are our predictions any good? Is there hope for improvement?
In The Signal and the noise, Nate Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy, ever-increasing data. Many predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because most of us have a poor understanding of probability and uncertainty
ER  -